NFL Week 11 Biggest Games, Best Bets and FanDuel Lineup
Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs
This game isn’t until Monday, but the slate we have in store this Sunday is average at best and this still counts as Week 11. The Super Bowl rematch is almost here, and the world sits in anticipation. These teams look and play very differently compared to when they met on the world’s biggest stage last February. The Chiefs have turned into a defensive lead team as they allow the least number of points per game in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes still hasn’t looked like his usual self yet this year and his lack of weapons has been an obvious detriment to the team. If Kansas City wins this game, I don’t think it will be a shootout. I think they’ll have to win it by playing great defense and running the ball well, limiting the time Jalen Hurts is on the field.
Speaking of Jalen Hurts, the bye week couldn’t have come at a better time for him. He has been nursing a knee injury for weeks now. Apparently, it wasn’t serious enough to keep him out of games, but you could tell he didn’t have as quick of a step as he normally does. Hurts and AJ Brown have been one of if not the best quarterback wide receiver duo in the NFL this season. Brown has already eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards and the Eagles still have 8 more games. The loss of Dallas Goedert stings, especially considering the next few games are the toughest stretch they’ll face all season. They would love to kick it off with a win at Kansas City.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
DTR vs Kenny Pickett, the matchup that set your TV on fire. Not because they were playing lights out football and lighting up the score though. After watching this game you’ll be forced to throw your TV on the fire and rid these terrible football vibes from your house. While I have a feeling this game will be terrible to watch, it has massive playoff implications.
Deshaun Watson and Joe Burrow are now out for the season leaving Pittsburgh firmly in the driver’s seat for at least a wild card berth. They’re currently 6-3 and face the aforementioned quarterback’s backups over the next two weeks. If the Steelers can take care of business, they could be 8-3 after Week 12. An 8-3 record for a team that scores 17.3 points per game (26th) would be disgusting, but it’s very much in play. Then who knows, if Baltimore stumbles any in the upcoming weeks, Pittsburgh could have a shot at the AFC North crown.
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
This is the Save Our Season bowl. The Jets sit at 4-5 while the Bills own a 5-5 record. Both would be out of the playoffs if they started today and both are still searching for some consistency in their offense. With Cleveland and Cincinnati most likely out of playoff contention with the loss of their starting quarterbacks, the AFC playoff race just lost two of its top teams.
As you probably know, the Bills fired their offensive coordinator this week. Maybe Josh Allen gets back to his old self eventually, but I don’t think it will happen this week. Not against a top 5 Jets defense that has given him troubles in recent years. The Jets beat Buffalo in Week 1 of this season on a walk off, overtime punt return touchdown. While I doubt that happens again, I do think this will be another defensive slugfest. Final prediction: Bills 20 Jets 17. Buffalo gets back above .500.
Detroit Lions -2 / Philadelphia Eagles +8.5
Detroit is playing Chicago and for lack of a better word they suck. They’re terrible. Justin Fields is making his return to the gridiron, but does that scare anybody? Maybe it would if this game was in Chicago, but it isn’t. It’s in Detroit and the Bears won’t be able to keep up with this Lions offense that plays much better inside. Chicago doesn’t have the personnel to stop both the running and passing game. I don’t know which one, but either Gibbs or Goff will have a monster day.
I love Philadelphia getting over a touchdown in this teaser. Kansas City doesn’t blow teams out anymore. Especially teams with a top 5 quarterback and weapons room. I don’t think they win this game, but I think they easily cover this number.
Jacksonville Jaguars -0.5 / Buffalo Bills -1.5
The Jaguars were embarrassed last week when they lost by 31 to the 49ers. They’re looking to exact some revenge and the Titans are the perfect team for that. Will Levis has shown signs of being a promising young quarterback, but hasn’t strung together an entire good game since his first outing. Jacksonville needs a win here to keep pace with the other AFC powerhouse teams. I think Trevor Lawrence will pick apart this terrible Titans secondary and lead Jacksonville to a division win.
I already predicted a final score of 20-17 in this Bills game, so it makes sense I have them in a teaser. It all comes down to which quarterback I trust the most here. I know Josh Allen’s name has taken a hit the last few weeks. He’s a top 5 quarterback in the NFL on a cold streak. It happens. Allen is still head and shoulders better than Zach Wilson and that’s my handicap for this game. That and the fact if Buffalo falls to 5-6, they can kiss their playoff chances goodbye. I don’t think that will happen today.
*We give out a lot of teasers on the blog. With the new way 2 team, 6-point teasers are being priced, you should only be taking them at -120. If the odds are worse than -120 at the book you use, find a different book.
QB – Brock Purdy – $7,500
RB – Darrell Henderson Jr. – $6,100
RB – Kenneth Walker III – $7,400
WR – Brandon Aiyuk – $7,800
WR – Christian Kirk – $6,900
WR – DJ Moore – $6,800
TE – Trey McBride – $5,900
FLEX – Saquon Barkley – $7,600
D/ST – Los Angeles Chargers – $3,900